Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000094 0.000099 0.000104 0.000110 0.000116 0.000123
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000090 0.000097 0.000106 0.000115 0.000126 0.000138
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000085 0.000094 0.000104 0.000116 0.000131 0.000149
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000083 0.000094 0.000106 0.000122 0.000140 0.000166
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000080 0.000091 0.000105 0.000122 0.000145 0.000176
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000077 0.000088 0.000103 0.000123 0.000148 0.000185
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000075 0.000087 0.000104 0.000125 0.000154 0.000198
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000075 0.000088 0.000105 0.000129 0.000163 0.000215
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000072 0.000085 0.000103 0.000128 0.000164 0.000222
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000069 0.000082 0.000100 0.000125 0.000162 0.000223
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000066 0.000079 0.000097 0.000124 0.000162 0.000227
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075 0.000093 0.000119 0.000157 0.000222
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123 0.000165 0.000242
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000096 0.000126 0.000174 0.000265
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000060 0.000074 0.000095 0.000126 0.000177 0.000276
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000097 0.000131 0.000188 0.000306
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000095 0.000131 0.000191 0.000320
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000057 0.000072 0.000094 0.000130 0.000193 0.000333
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000094 0.000132 0.000200 0.000358
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000072 0.000096 0.000136 0.000211 0.000395
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000094 0.000135 0.000211 0.000405
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068 0.000091 0.000131 0.000207 0.000401
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000052 0.000066 0.000089 0.000129 0.000205 0.000404